An OCTOVEX initiativeTMC Research

Turning trading ideas into verifiable quantitative research.

TMC Research structures versioned hypotheses, challenges them through analysis by multiple AI agents and produces reproducible evidence before any human decision is made.

  • Quantitative research
  • Multi-agent AI
  • Deterministic backtesting
  • Human decision-making
Research cycle

Versioned hypotheses

Every idea becomes a traceable formulation with clear validation criteria.

Multi-agent analysis

Specialized agents propose, challenge and document their reasoning.

Human decision-making

The findings inform decisions without replacing human accountability.

Reproducible evidence

Data, strategies, backtests and metrics are versioned to remain verifiable.

Mission

Explore, formalize and measure before operationalizing.

TMC Research is OCTOVEX’s private AI-assisted quantitative research lab.

Its mission is to turn trading ideas into testable hypotheses, structured strategies, controlled datasets and reproducible quantitative experiments.

TMC reduces uncertainty through research and validation. OCTOVEX then provides the architecture, development and production delivery when the evidence supports the transfer.

Decision principle

AI proposes and critiques

Specialized agents examine the same hypothesis from multiple angles.

Evidence measures

Reproducible data and backtests test the idea against observable results.

Humans decide

The final decision remains explicit, justified and tied to a specific version.

Research areas

Fields of work united by the same standard of traceability.

Each area maps to modules, capabilities or protocols that are documented in TMC Research.

Hypotheses and strategies

Formalize an idea, version its criteria and translate it into a structured strategy without losing its history.

  • Hypotheses
  • Versioning
  • Rules

Liquidity and market structure

Study regimes, liquidity and market structure to define the conditions surrounding a hypothesis more precisely.

  • Liquidity
  • Structure
  • Regimes

Risk and statistical robustness

Examine limitations, biases and the robustness of the results before drawing a conclusion.

  • Risk
  • Bias
  • Robustness

Reproducible data

Validate, normalize and seal versions of market data with a deterministic quality report.

  • Quality
  • UTC
  • Snapshots

Backtesting and quantitative analysis

Simulate strategies under a conservative policy and retain versioned trades, metrics and curves.

  • Backtests
  • Metrics
  • Drawdown

AI-assisted critical review

Cross-check analyses, syntheses and indicator code to detect inconsistencies, repainting and look-ahead bias.

  • Multi-agent
  • Synthesis
  • Audit
Method

A versioned cycle from idea to evidence.

The method separates exploration, experimentation, measurement and decision-making so that every conclusion remains verifiable.

  1. 01

    Explore

    Define the scope of a project, a research question and its known limitations.

  2. 02

    Formulate

    Create a versioned hypothesis with explicit criteria.

  3. 03

    Challenge

    Have multiple specialized agents analyze and critique the hypothesis.

  4. 04

    Experiment

    Combine a strategy, controlled data and a deterministic backtesting protocol.

  5. 05

    Measure and decide

    Synthesize the evidence, quantify the risks and preserve the human decision.

  6. 06

    Transfer

    Turn validated knowledge into architecture and an operational product.

Research in progress

Documented workstreams, with no fabricated public results.

The repository describes internal programs, infrastructure and protocols. It publishes no returns, trading signals or promises of performance.

Research infrastructureIn internal production

Versioned research platform

Projects, versioned hypotheses, multi-agent AI runs, summaries and immutable human decisions form a complete, traceable cycle where the human keeps the final call.

  • Hypotheses
  • Multi-agent
  • Human decision
Quantitative evidenceIn internal production

Deterministic backtest engine

A separate Python engine simulates one position at a time under a conservative policy, then persists trades, metrics, equity curves and comparisons atomically and versioned.

  • Python
  • Metrics
  • Reproducibility
Internal research programExperimentation

TMC PRO

An initial program focused on XAUUSD, designed to document hypotheses, limitations and evidence scientifically before drawing any conclusion.

  • XAUUSD
  • Hypotheses
  • Validation
Documented protocolPrototype

XAUUSD economic protocol

An immutable framework connecting source, validated indicator specification, instrument, economic profile, sealed data and execution conventions, while separating gross results, costs and net results.

  • Protocol
  • Costs
  • Indicator DSL
From research to product

TMC reduces uncertainty. OCTOVEX turns evidence into operational systems.

The transfer does not promise that an idea will become a product. It establishes a clear path from validated knowledge to an engineering decision.

  1. 01

    Insight

    TMC Research

  2. 02

    Prototype

    TMC Research

  3. 03

    Validation

    TMC Research

  4. 04

    Architecture

    OCTOVEX

  5. 05

    Product

    OCTOVEX

  6. 06

    Production

    OCTOVEX

Principles

Useful research begins by making its limitations visible.

These principles are applied throughout TMC Research’s architecture, workflows and business rules.

Rigor

Every hypothesis has a framework, criteria and a documented rationale.

Reproducibility

Versions, data and parameters make it possible to rerun an experiment.

Traceability

Decisions, audits and snapshots preserve the context behind every result.

Critical review

Analyses actively seek out biases, inconsistencies and fragile assumptions.

Human decision-making

AI assists the research process without becoming the final authority.

Explicit limitations

A lack of evidence or reliable data remains visible and prevents unsupported conclusions.

Turn a complex question into a concrete solution.

TMC Research structures the exploration. OCTOVEX provides the architecture, development and production delivery.